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September 21, 2014 | Posted by David Zarling, Head of Investment Research

JUST DO IT

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Nike has broken through overhead resistance to new highs on weekly and daily time frames. The move comes after the fourth knock on the 79-80 door. Corrections take place in one of two ways – through price (declines) or through time (sideways price consolidation). This bullish continuation pattern in NKE is a classic ascending triangle, meaning that price formed this pattern during a period of consolidation within an uptrend. In an ascending triangle, one trendline is drawn horizontally at a level that has historically prevented the price from heading higher (for NKE, 79-80), while the second trendline connects a series of increasing troughs (marked with a “360 green” line). What’s great about patterns is that our risk and rewards are well defined. In this case, our reward target is 96ish, a 17% gain. And we can choose one of two stop loss levels to manage risk – either 79.50 (below previous weekly resistance now turned support) or tighter at 80.75 (the ideal support level on a daily basis)

We have our entry (right now), our stop loss, and our target. We don’t enter a trade without an exit plan. So we have our game plan and will enter this trade because of the robust risk/reward opportunity. If we get stopped out, we don’t care. That means our risk management is solid. We’ve removed the emotion while identifying great potential gains. You’re welcome.

JUST DO IT
JUST DO IT

09-19-2014 NKE Breakout 2

Filed Under: Breakout, Equity, Pattern Recognition Tagged With: Ascending Triangle, breakout, Nike, NKE, risk management, trendline

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