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October 28, 2014 | Posted by David Zarling, Head of Investment Research

Levels Recaptured. Now What?

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Back on October 17th, we found reasons for an immediate bottom (which turned out to be an accurate assessment). And on October 19th, we identified some levels in common indexes that would allow us to hold long positions. Those levels have been recaptured. Now what? Our head is on a swivel, identifying if/then scenarios in an incremental risk environment. There is still overhead resistance at downward trend lines off the highs from September. We’d like to see new highs made, and kept. Anything below the levels identified on the 19th, and we are out of our long positions. Yes, tomorrow is FOMC day. Don’t trade what you think the market should do. FOMC days are notoriously counter intuitive (what ever the market does tomorrow, be ready for the opposite to take place in the following days). Trade what you see. Price holds the final say.

Must stay above 1905 and make new highs.
Must stay above 1905 and make new highs.
Must stay above 16600 and make new highs.
Must stay above 16600 and make new highs.
Must stay above 1100 and make new highs. Right at downward resistance and Fib 62.8%
Must stay above 1100 and make new highs. Daily close at downward resistance and Fib 61.8%.

Filed Under: Equity, Market Outlook, Supply and Demand Tagged With: $INDU, $SPX, Confluence, Dow Jones, Fibonacci Retracement, FOMC, IWM, QE, Recapture, Russell 2000, RUT, S&P 500, SPY

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